david games gods and gambling pdf

David Games Gods And Gambling Pdf

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Games, Gods Gambling: A History of Probability and Statistical Ideas

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Gambling and economic thought in the Late Middle Ages

Probability has a dual aspect: on the one hand the likelihood of hypotheses given the evidence for them, and on the other hand the behavior of stochastic processes such as the throwing of dice or coins. The study of the former is historically older in, for example, the law of evidence, while the mathematical treatment of dice began with the work of Cardano , Pascal and Fermat between the 16th and 17th century. Probability is distinguished from statistics ; see history of statistics. While statistics deals with data and inferences from it, stochastic probability deals with the stochastic random processes which lie behind data or outcomes. Probable and probability and their cognates in other modern languages derive from medieval learned Latin probabilis , deriving from Cicero and generally applied to an opinion to mean plausible or generally approved.

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Games, Gods, And Gambling

Todhunter on the "History of Probability" has been and always will be the major work of reference in this subject. He is rarely wrong, always explicit, and has obviously read widely through all available literature. That he stops early in time with Laplace and thus does not treat the interesting developments of the nineteenth century is hardly his fault, since he wrote his book in and would have been collecting his material for some years before this. From the point of view of the development of ideas he does not start soon enough. He notes the mathematical arguments fairly and with precision, but this is like embarking on a river when it has become of respectable size, and paying no attention to the multitude of small streams and tributaries of which it is the united outcome. The idea that one might speculate about the development of the random element through references in literature of all kinds—classical, archaeological, biographical, poetical and fictional—is one which came to me as a student some thirty years ago.

Nineteenth-Century Literature 1 June ; 53 1 : 25— Gambling is a major issue in Daniel Deronda , and it mediates a major conflict in George Eliot's system of belief. When the wayward Gwendolen gambles at roulette and marriage, she is made to suffer a heavy penance; yet when the author's darling Deronda risks his whole English inheritance for a visionary ideal, he is blessed. Gwendolen inhabits a deterministic world in which effect follows cause with relentless insistence, while Deronda, the flawless hero, inhabits one largely ruled by miracle and coincidence. These two gamblers receive very different treatment, and I probe this ambiguity under the rubrics of chance, play, and egotism. Eliot condemns chance because it substitutes luck for responsibility, yet she grants Deronda all the luck of a fixed game.

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Games, gods and gambling: the origins and history of probability and statistical ideas from the earliest times to the Newtonian era. David, F. N. (​Florence.


Games, Gods and Gambling: A History of Probability and Statistical Ideas

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